Back to Metricon Metricon · Risk Desk tools

Single source risk calculator

Estimate operational exposure after usable stock cover and compare recovery or diversification scenarios.

Calculator

FormulaUncovered days = max(0, recovery − stock cover) · Exposure = uncovered days × daily impact × dependent share

Activity dependent on this supplier

Use 100% where the supplier is a critical bottleneck.

Time to restore supply

Include qualification and delivery of an alternative.

days

Usable stock cover

Stock that can actually support the affected activity.

days

Daily impact at full interruption

Use estimated incremental loss rather than double-counted revenue and margin.

₹/day

Chance of one such event in your horizon

A scenario assumption, not a predicted probability.

Exposure per interruption —